Coal

Large piles of coal with industrial equipment and train cars at a power plant

Thermal coal futures climbed above $150 per ton, reaching their highest level since September 2023 after Indonesia tightened export controls on commodities, a move expected to delay coal shipments from the country. The decision came amid stronger seasonal demand, with summer heat boosting electricity consumption for air conditioning. Ongoing disruptions linked to the Middle East conflict also continued to support coal prices, as the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz forced Asian and European energy importers to seek alternatives to natural gas supplies from the Persian Gulf. Japan and South Korea, in particular, have increased their consumption of coal since the outbreak of the war. Qatar’s Ras Laffan facility has declared force majeure, removing nearly 10.2 Mtpa of LNG supply to Asia, with the partial shutdown expected to last through late summer.




Coal prices held above $130 per ton, below the 17-month high of $146.5 reached on March 20, but still up nearly 15% since the war began in late February. The move reflects spillover from higher oil and LNG risk premiums as failed US-Iran peace talks keep key shipping routes uncertain. Asia is leaning on coal for baseload power, with Japan extending coal plant use and South Korea easing curbs, while China boosts domestic coal output and advances coal-to-gas projects to cut import risk. The shift underscores a broader energy-security pivot as gas and oil supply fears persist. Still, any rebound in Middle Eastern energy flows could unwind recent gains, while long-term demand faces pressure from accelerating renewable energy growth and policy transitions worldwide. In corporate news, Anglo American is attracting at least three bidders for its Australian steelmaking coal assets, with Stanmore Resources, Mitsubishi Corporation and PT Buma Internasional Grup among suitors.


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